In a weekend packed with outstanding early-season league games, there’s a big one in Serie A with the Derby della Maradona coming early with Inter taking on AC Milan at the San Siro.
These two teams are heading in opposite directions, as their midweek Champions League clash showed. Inter managed to secure an impressive draw away to the Premier League giants, while AC Milan were crushed by Liverpool at home.
Both teams are chasing the likes of Torino, Udinese and Napoli who have started the season in exceptional form, but reigning Serie A champions Inter and top-four hopefuls AC Milan will both be hoping to be among the top teams by the end of the campaign.
Rivalry games like these often set the tone for the weeks to come, and both teams will be hoping for a springboard to put them on the path to a run of positive results.
Inter vs AC Milan match prediction and odds
- Skinny Moneyline: Inter (-140)
- Score prediction: Inter Milan 3-1
- Best choice: Inter -1 goal handicap (+115 on DraftKings)
At this point in the game, Inter are simply in much better shape than AC Milan. There’s not much to complain about in this game, just look at how Liverpool tore AC Milan apart.
The outsiders will improve over the course of the season if they give Paulo Fonseca time, because he is a good manager, but at the moment it is not working, and it is difficult to see the situation suddenly improving in a few days.
| BetMGM (USA) |
|
| Inter victory | -140 |
| Draw | +290 |
| AC Milan Victory | +360 |
| Both teams mark |
Y: -145 N: +105 |
| More / Less 2.5 goals |
O: -145 U: +105 |
| Between -0.5 goals |
-155 |
| AC Milan +0.5 goals |
+110 |
Highlights of the match Inter – AC Milan
- Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
- Kick-off time: 8:45 p.m. local time (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
- Location: San Siro (Milan, Italy)
- Arbitrator: Maurizio Mariani
- Last meeting: AC Milan 1-2 Inter (April 22, 2024 | Serie A)
Inter vs AC Milan: The Best Bet
- Take: Inter scores over 2.5 goals
- Odds: +185 (BetMGM)
AC Milan’s defence under Paulo Fonseca has been rotten this season, being torn to pieces against almost every opponent up to this point.
The Reds were crushed by Liverpool last season, scoring three goals from 23 shots at a 3.09 xG, but that’s not an isolated incident. They’ve conceded two goals each against Parma, Lazio and Torino this season, with only the latter significantly exceeding their expected goals.
Inter have managed to score goals most of the time this season, although Lautaro Martinez has yet to score, and this could be a great opportunity for him to score his first goal.
Inter – AC Milan prop bet
- Take: Marcus Thuram 2+ shots on target
- Odds: +210 (FanDuel)
Marcus Thuram has struggled for consistent finishing throughout his career but has enjoyed a Milan derby, scoring against AC Milan both times against rivals Inter in his career.
The France international has already scored twice in Serie A this season, against Genoa and Atalanta, and was dynamic against Manchester City in midweek, getting a shot on target six minutes into the game before failing to find the target with either of his next two chances.
Against a struggling defense like AC Milan’s, Thuram should have plenty of chances, especially with Mehdi Taremi and Lautaro Martinez both struggling to get into position alongside him. With Thuram at +155 as an anytime goalscorer, the odds of him scoring twice are much greater at over 2/1.