As the NBA heads into the final day of the 2023-24 regular season on Sunday, we have a much clearer idea of the playoff landscape, the Eastern and Western Conference Play-In tournament scenarios, and the real contenders. to win the NBA Finals.
We also have a clearer picture of the other side of the rankings: the teams that finish with the worst records in the Association and close their seasons with the best odds to earn the first overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft Lottery on Sunday May 12. .
No player in the 2024 draft class has the superstar skill set of 2023 No. 1 pick and upcoming unanimous Rookie of the Year winner Victor Wembanyama. However, a quick look at the mock draft from Jugo Mobile draft expert Kyle Irving assures us that plenty of talent will be joining the league on June 26-27.
Could Gregg Popovich and the Spurs land a second consecutive No. 1 pick? It’s completely possible. San Antonio joins the Hornets as the team just below the Pistons and Wizards at the top of the lottery odds. Detroit and Washington, teams that have endured brutal stretches this season, each have a 14 percent chance of landing the No. 1 seed.
In each of the last four seasons, a team with a 14 percent chance has earned the right to be selected first.
The Spurs plucked Wemby from France last year, the Magic selected Paolo Banchero from Duke in 2022, the Pistons selected Cade Cunningham from Oklahoma State in 2021 and the Timberwolves selected Anthony Edwards from Georgia in 2020.
The Pelicans are the only team in the modern lottery system to go first overall without having one of the NBA’s three worst records. New Orleans had a 6 percent chance in 2019 and proceeded to draft Duke superstar Zion Williamson without hesitation.
Here’s what you need to know about this year’s lottery as teams wait anxiously to see if they’ll get the top pick.
2024 NBA Draft Lottery: Odds of Winning the No. 1 Pick
With just one day of NBA regular season games left, the Wizards, Pistons and Hornets have even 14 percent odds of earning the top pick in the 2024 NBA Draft Lottery.
Last year, the Spurs won the NBA Draft Lottery with a 14 percent chance of landing the No. 1 pick, the fourth consecutive season in which a team with a 14 percent lottery chance picked first.
Let’s look at the complete and updated odds to win the No. 1 pick in the 2024 NBA Draft:
| Equipment | odds of winning choice number 1 |
| Pistons | 14.0% |
| magicians | 14.0% |
| Trail jackets | 13.3% |
| Hornets | 13.2% |
| Spurs | 10.5% |
| Raptors | 9.0% |
| Grizzlies | 7.5% |
| Jazz | 6.0% |
| Networks | 4.5% |
| Falcons | 3.0% |
| Bulls | 2.0% |
| rockets | 1.5% |
| Kings | 1.0% |
| Warriors | 0.5% |
The Pistons could land the No. 1 pick for the second time in four years, as they selected Cade Cunningham first overall in the 2021 NBA Draft.
The Pistons, Spurs, Hornets and Blazers are among the five worst teams this season, putting them all at the top of the lottery odds for the second year in a row.
The Rockets, who had a 14 percent chance of landing the No. 1 seed last season, improved substantially between 2023 and 2024. Houston currently sits at No. 12 in lottery odds, with just a 1.5 percent chance to win the first election. The Magic and Pacers also changed things tremendously between last year and today.
2024 NBA Draft Lottery Betting Odds: Which Team Will Win the No. 1 Pick?
Most years, the betting odds to win the NBA Draft Lottery reflect the current chances of winning the lottery. It makes sense to us.
our friends at BetMGM they have not yet released their odds of winning the No. 1 overall pick; There are many NBA Betting interests that attract the public’s attention right now, including playoff odds, specific series like Clippers-Mavericks, and the NBA Finals.
However, we will do the honor of projecting what the odds will be of each top contender winning the first overall pick.
| Equipment | Project betting odds for election number 1 |
| Pistons | +500 |
| magicians | +500 |
| Trail jackets | +550 |
| Hornets | +575 |
| Spurs | +700 |
| Raptors | +850 |
| Grizzlies | +1000 |
| Jazz | +1300 |
| Networks | +1700 |
| Falcons | +2500 |
| Bulls | +3300 |
| rockets | +3700 |
| Lakers | +6000 |
| Warriors | +10000 |
2024 NBA Draft Odds: How Tiebreakers Work
If multiple lottery teams finish the same record, all of their selected lottery combinations are added together and then divided among them equally. If the number is odd and cannot be divided equally between the teams, the draw is used to decide the order of distribution of the remaining combinations.
The lottery is only used to determine the first four positions in the draft. After that, the remaining teams are simply placed in reverse order of their record, starting in fifth place. If teams with better records outperform other teams and into the top four, some teams may drop to fifth place or lower. In that scenario, as with teams not participating in the lottery, the draw will decide the draft order of the tied teams.
The NBA tiebreaker draw also applies to all teams for the second round, where teams return to the reverse order of their record (regardless of lottery results). For example, if the seventh-place team jumps to the number one overall pick, it will return to its normal position of seventh in the second round.
2024 NBA Draft Odds: Who Will Go No. 1 Overall?
After last year’s race to the top doubled as Victor Wembanyama’s draw, this year it’s much more open.
Our NBA draft expert Kyle Irving has teased Australian center Alex Sarr (7-0) as the No. 1 pick, and we tend to agree with him as long as the Spurs don’t get the No. 1 pick for the second time. consecutive year.
An elite rim protector who plays hard on both ends of the floor, Sarr has the size, strength and skills to greatly improve any team at the top of the draft.
What time is the 2024 NBA Draft lottery?
- Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024
- Time: 8 pm eastern time
The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery drawing will take place on Sunday, May 12 from Chicago.
What channel is the NBA Draft Lottery on?
The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery can be watched on ESPN or streamed live on ESPN+ or Sling.
