Man City vs Newcastle prediction, betting tips and odds for the FA Cup quarter-finals

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Manchester City put the hotly contested Premier League title race on hold for a weekend when they face Newcastle in the FA Cup quarter-finals on Saturday.

Pep Guardiola’s side enjoyed a rare full week’s rest ahead of this game, following the long-awaited league clash against Liverpool. While the extra time is undoubtedly beneficial, City will continue to rue their physical fortunes after both goalkeeper Ederson and world-class playmaker Kevin De Bruyne were injured in that last match.

Ederson will miss a few weeks with a thigh injury, meaning that Stefan Ortega will not only reprise his role as Cup goalkeeper in this match, but will also take to the field in other competitions. De Bruyne escaped without further damage, but will be sidelined for this match, aiming to return in the crucial league match against Arsenal after the international break.


Newcastle will have no sympathy for City’s fitness concerns – after finishing in the top four last season, the Magpies have been victims of countless injuries this season, leading to a drop down the Premier League table. Sitting 10th in the table, the FA Cup is their last chance for redemption, having been knocked out of both the European competition and the EFL Cup ahead of schedule.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Man City vs Newcastle and bet on FA Cup matches

Man City vs Newcastle Prediction, Odds

  • Lean Money Line: Manchester City (-375)
  • Score prediction: Manchester City 4-2 Newcastle

While Manchester City are on a different level with Kevin De Bruyne on the field, the team still has a top-tier European lineup in case the Belgian is unavailable.

Regardless of their own situation, Newcastle have made Man City work hard for results, with Pep Guardiola claiming three wins in their last five games against the Magpies, but winning those three games by a combined margin of four goals.

That stretch also includes a 1-0 win for Newcastle in the EFL Cup earlier this year, eliminating the defending champions from the competition, and a 3-3 draw early last season at St. James’ Park. It will be a difficult exit for City, but they should pull through and advance.

BetMGM
(USA)
Manchester City victory
(90 minutes)
-375
Draw
(90 minutes)
+525
Newcastle victory
(90 minutes)
+900
Both teams
to note Y/N
-125 / -115
Below
3.5 goals
+100 / -145
city ​​man
to advance
-1000
Newcastle
to advance
+525

Man City vs Newcastle match details

  • Date: Saturday, March 16, 2024
  • Start time: 5:30 p.m. local (1:30 p.m. ET / 10:30 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester, England)
  • Referee: Simon Hooper, VAR: Jarred Gillett
  • Last meeting: Newcastle 2-3 Man City (January 13, 2024 | Premier League)

The best bet between Manchester City and Newcastle

  • Choose: More than 3.5 goals in total
  • Odd: +100 (BetMGM)

Manchester City possess one of the most thunderous attacking teams in Europe, even in the absence of Kevin De Bruyne. This team is well versed in how to formulate big goal totals in the Belgian’s absence, with De Bruyne missing significant time earlier this year amid an injury-plagued season.

Newcastle, for their part, only know one approach: goals. The Magpies are fourth in the Premier League in terms of expected goals, although they have conceded the eighth-most chances in defence. Limit that to 2024, when injuries really started to take their toll on the midfield and defense, and they qualify died last in expected goals conceded.

If Man City accumulate opportunities and make the most of them, Newcastle will know they have to keep up, something they are prepared to do, to a certain extent.

Man City vs Newcastle Prop Bet

  • Choose: Phil Foden any time goalscorer
  • Odd: +150 (BetMGM)

While talisman Erling Haaland understandably has the best chance of scoring in the betting market, with unsustainable odds of -225 to find the net, another player seems equally likely to pepper Martin Dubravka with shots.

Phil Foden, who is making noise as the PFA Player of the Year in the Premier League, has taken a starring role in Man City’s forward line. With Newcastle’s defensive line struggling mightily in the new year, and Foden crashing shots on target in the same period, the positive odds here feel very strong.

Foden has racked up 4.28 xG on a whopping 42 shots in nine Premier League games in 2024, scoring six goals in that span. Compare that to the gluttonous Erling Haaland, who has 5.66 xG on 34 shots in eight games since his return from injury, and Foden looks like a very strong player up front with much more acceptable value.

Man City vs Newcastle live stream, TV channel

television channel Transmission
USA ESPN+
Canada sportsnet Sportsnet now
United Kingdom BBC one BBC iPlayer, BBC website/app

The exclusive broadcaster of the FA Cup in the United States is ESPN, which broadcasts all matches of the 2023/24 competition on its streaming service. ESPN+.


In Canada, the match is available on all Sportsnet channels, while in the UK it will be broadcast on BBC One and the company’s various streaming platforms.

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