Best Dolphins vs Bills DFS Predictions for TNF Showdown

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Thursday Night Football should be fun this week, with Tyreek Hill and the Dolphins hosting AFC East rival Josh Allen and the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium (8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime).

If you’re playing DFS tournaments ahead of this star-studded matchup, the Jugo Mobile can help point you in the right direction among the best sleepers, best cleats, and best value picks so you can optimize your lineups.

And what a talent smorgasbord you’ll have to choose from tonight. Hill and star teammate Jaylen Waddle combined for 12 receptions and 239 yards last week in Miami’s win over the Jaguars, while Allen had 271 yards and four TDs en route to the win over the Cardinals.

Everyone knows the big names, but the key to building an ideal DFS matchup or individual matchup slate is getting the most bang for your buck with smart captain/MVP picks, flex plays, and contrarian strategies.

Dolphins vs. Bills NFL DFS Picks: Optimal DraftKings Lineup

POSITION PLAYER TEAM/OPPONENT SALARY
Captain Jeff Wilson Jr., RB Dolphins vs Bills $3,600
FLEX Tyreek Hill, WR Dolphins vs Bills $11,600
FLEX Josh Allen, QB Bills at Dolphins $11,000
FLEX Tua Tagovailoa, QB Dolphins vs Bills $9,400
FLEX Jaylen Waddle, receiver Dolphins vs Bills $8,600
FLEX Keon Coleman, receiver Bills at Dolphins $5,800

Captain: Jeff Wilson Jr., RB, Dolphins vs. Bills ($3,600)

Wilson Jr. could be our meal ticket this week, with Dolphins teammate Raheem Mostert already waived and De’Von Achane’s status still uncertain. If Wilson sees RB1 volume and returns to the level of per-touch efficiency he set in Week 1 (5 carries for 26 yards), this will be a fun TNF race.

The main reason to make Wilson our captain: It allows us to afford the four biggest stars in this game. If we can line up Hill, Allen, Tua, and Waddle, it seems like a no-brainer to put Wilson in the 1.5x bonus position for just $3,600. A long run and we’re probably in the money. A touchdown or two and we could be flirting with the grand prize.

FLEX: Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins vs. Bills ($11,600)

It’s almost inconceivable to build a team that involves a Dolphins game and not use Hill. He’s the most lethal weapon in sports, and even pregame handcuffs can’t contain him.

Hill scored 29 DK points almost effortlessly in Week 1, and now he’ll get to torch a Buffalo secondary that’s pretty young and looks pretty error-prone in the Bills’ shaky 34-28 win over the Cardinals. Fire up the Cheetah!

FLEX 2: Josh Allen, QB, Bills vs. Dolphins ($11,000)

A perennial MVP candidate, Allen will need to be at the top of his game this year if Buffalo is to continue its run of success in the AFC. Life without Stefon Diggs already looked tough last week against Arizona, which is playing PFF secondary ranked 32nd at the beginning of the season.

But don’t worry, Allen broke the Cards in the second half like the Bills mob breaks plastic tables while tailgating. Overall, the burly QB scored 32.2 fantasy points. He’s a must-have addition to the roster Thursday night.

FLEX 3: Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Dolphins vs. Bills ($9,400)

Tua has been a part of some strong fantasy teams this year, but he remains an underrated and underappreciated fantasy and DFS player due to the sheer number of stars playing around him.

Still, there’s no denying the strategy of pairing him with Hill and Waddle: why take advantage of the team’s two most dangerous receivers and not also take advantage of the QB’s points on every completion and touchdown? It’s a no-brainer, especially if you have the means.

FLEX 4: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins vs. Bills ($8,600)

As you may have guessed, I’m predicting the Dolphins to beat the Bills in our Thursday Night Football betting preview. So, of course, Waddle was selected for our TNF Showdown Team. He caught all five of his targets in Week 1 against the Jags, totaling 109 yards and 19.2 DK points. Hopefully he does something similar this week against Buffalo’s often unstable cornerback corps.

FLEX 5: Keon Coleman, WR, Bills at Dolphins ($5,800)

Coleman led the Bills in targets (5) and receiving yards (51) in his NFL debut, but he failed to find the end zone like veteran teammates Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins. Still, it’s refreshing to see Allen trust his shiny new toy, and Coleman clearly has the assets to develop into a go-to WR1. At $5,800 with exactly $5,800 left in our war chest, this pick pretty much made itself.

NFL DFS Predictions Dolphins vs. Bills: Optimal FanDuel Lineup

Here are the main scoring parameters for FanDuel single-game tournaments: They are PPR of half a point with three-point bonus for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards or 100 receiving yards. THE The MVP pick multiplies that player’s total by 1.5 but does not cost 1.5 times his listed salary.

POSITION PLAYER TEAM/OPPONENT SALARY
MVP Tyreek Hill, WR Dolphins vs Bills $16,500
FLEX Tua Tagovailoa, QB Dolphins vs Bills $14,000
FLEX De’Von Achane, RB Dolphins vs Bills $12,500
FLEX Keon Coleman, receiver Bills at Dolphins $10,000
FLEX Jeff Wilson Jr., RB Dolphins vs Bills $6,500

We continue to pair Hill and Tua, but we put TyFreak in place of MVP since it doesn’t cost us anything extra to get the 1.5x multiplier on him.

We also hedge a bit, so we have shares of Achane, just in case he shows up and we can almost guarantee ourselves a near monopoly on the Dolphins’ rushing production between him and JWJ.

Coleman remains Buffalo’s leading wide receiver, as we won’t touch Dalton Kincaid after he caught a pass for 11 yards against Arizona. Miami thwarted Evan Engram last week, so we don’t expect similar heartbreak.

Dolphins vs. Bills NFL DFS Picks: Optimal SuperDraft Lineup

As we did all last season, we are also presenting SuperDraft lineups in our single-game DFS contest columns.

For those who don’t know, SuperDraft The DFS scoring system involves point multipliers, unlike traditional salary cap or tiered contests. A winning team will likely feature a solid mix of fantasy contributors with 1x to 1.6x boosts, as well as matchup-based sleepers with larger multipliers. Each player is assigned a score multiplier based on their value as determined by SuperDraft. Users can register any player in their roster without any restrictions.

Here are the most notable scoring rules for NFL SuperDraft contests: PPR of half a point, Four-point passing TDsAnd two-point bonus for 100 yards of running, 100 receiving yards, and 300 passing yards. SuperDraft lineups do not feature a D/ST position. The “Champion” position adds an additional 50% bonus to the selected player, while SuperFlex positions are limited to the bonus listed for each player.

POSITION PLAYER GAME BOOSTER
FIELD Jaylen Waddle, receiver Dolphins vs Bills 1.95x
SFLEX Tyreek Hill, WR Dolphins vs Bills 1x
SFLEX Khalil Shakir, receiver Bills at Dolphins 1.5x
SFLEX Keon Coleman, receiver Bills at Dolphins 1.6x
SFLEX Jeff Wilson Jr., RB Dolphins vs Bills 1.95x

MORE DFS SUPERDRAFT: How to play SuperDraft

The name of the game with SuperDraft and its non-salary, boost-fueled DFS contests is still value, but it also gives a boost to lineup variance.

So when 70% of the field picks Tyreek with only a 1x point boost, it makes sense for us to draft Waddle with 1.95x and hope we can Waddle to victory.

We also added Shakir for his flexibility boost and because of the advantage he gives to TDs. Other than that, we have a pretty similar composition here to what we did with our DK and FD lineups.

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