The winner of the Super Bowl for the 2023 season will officially be one of the Ravens, Chiefs, 49ers or Lions.
The Ravens began the divisional round of the playoffs by decimating the Texans. San Francisco then survived a potential upset against the seventh-seeded Packers. The Lions then continued their great season by beating the Buccaneers. And the weekend ended with the Chiefs again ending the Bills’ season after Tyler Bass missed a potential game-tying field goal in the final minutes of the game.
Playing for the conference championship will be the Ravens, the best team of the 2023 season, hosting the Chiefs, who are looking to achieve two consecutive road victories after not having played on the road in the Patrick Mahomes era. The 49ers will then play for their third straight conference championship, hoping to prevent the Lions from reaching their first since 1991.
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Each week, the Jugo Mobile model will project each NFL game 10,000 times to generate the number of times a team wins a matchup and calculate the probability of victory. The model is adjusted after each week as it learns more about each team and its quarterback.
For each game its projected margin, based on the model, and a team’s probability of winning are listed. We’ve also included updated playoff and Super Bowl odds at the bottom. The odds listed on each game are not based on the bookmakers, but on how the model views the game unfolding. We will then compare the probabilities of the model with those of Caesars Sports Bettingto see how the bookmakers view the week’s matches.
Here’s how the model sees conference championships shaping up.
